|
Matt Fargo |
|
|---|---|---|
| CFB 13-5 run after Army Win Saturday. Bowls and CFP posted starting Tuesday. 235-202-9 NFL Run after a Monday Winner. Week 16 upcoming. CBB 71-54 Run and the long term run extended. NBA Monday adds to 4-2 Run. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Dec 16, 2025 UC San Diego vs Loyola Marymount |
Loyola Marymount +2½ -112 at Draft Kings |
Lost $112.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
|
This is a play on the LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT LIONS for our Tuesday Free Play. UC San Diego has started where it left off last season as the Tritons are off to a 9-1 start with the lone loss coming at Nevada by six points. The schedule has not been a cakewalk either as this is their seventh straight game away from home with four taking place on a neutral floor where they went 4-0 as well as a 1-1 road split. The road win was against Long Beach St. by six points and the Beach is rated No. 263 while Loyola Marymount comes in rated 131 spots higher at No. 132. The Lions are 7-3 following two straight losses at home, the last against No. 41 St. Louis by 21 points. That was a full two weeks ago as they have been off for finals which could be considered good or bad but it should be the former as they were off four games in nine days that included a trip to Florida. The short number is putting the public all over the Tritons. Play (648) Loyola Marymount Lions CFB 13-5 run after Army Win Saturday. Bowls and CFP posted starting Tuesday. 235-202-9 NFL Run after a Monday Winner. Week 16 upcoming. CBB 71-54 Run and the long term run extended. NBA Monday adds to 4-2 Run. |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Dec 16, 2025 Northern Colorado vs Texas Tech |
Northern Colorado +25½ -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
|
This is a play on the NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Northern Colorado co-won the Big Sky Conference regular season along with Montana and expected to take a tumble after losing its top three scorers but do not tell that to head coach Steve Smiley. The Bears are at 56.1% in Effective Field Goal Percentage after shooting 57.0% last season, which was No. 6 in the country so they are not far off. They are 5-1, the only loss coming against a solid St. Thomas team by one point and while this is the biggest challenge so far, there is no respect with this number. Texas Tech is coming off a loss against Arkansas, its third of the season and all away from home, and the Red Raiders are now No. 23 at KenPom after being this low only twice all of last season. This could be considered a get right game but Texas Tech has a game against Duke at MSG on deck for Saturday. 10* (633) Northern Colorado Bears |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Dec 16, 2025 Miami-OH vs Wright State |
Wright State +1½ -115 at PlayMGM |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
|
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. It has been a not so great stretch for Wright St. as it is 3-4 in its last seven games but three of those losses were by seven points combined, one in overtime by four points, but all of those were away from home. The Raiders are off a two-point loss at Marshall on Saturday and are back home where they are 3-1, the lone loss coming against Toledo over four weeks ago. Because of the close calls from a schedule ranked No. 140, they are No. 365 in the Luck Ratings, making them the most unfortunate team in the country. Miami is off to an undefeated start at 10-0 and while this is due to being a contender in the MAC after the best season ever with 25 wins, it is also due to playing the second easiest schedule in the nation. Tonight, the RedHawks face their highest rated opponent all season with the previous high being No. 214 Old Dominion. 10* (624) Wright St. Raiders |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Dec 16, 2025 Louisville vs Tennessee |
Tennessee -2 -115 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
|
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CBB Star Attraction. Tennessee is in a great rebound spot on Tuesday as it has been off for 10 days following its third consecutive loss after falling to Illinois in Nashville back on December 6. The Volunteers were off a loss at Syracuse prior to that and a loss against Kansas in the consolation game of the Players ERA and these three losses have been part of five straight games away from home. Tennessee is 5-0 at home and while this is the biggest test at Thompson-Boling Arena, the Volunteers bring in a 41-game nonconference home winning streak. Louisville is off to a great start as it is 9-1 following a pair of big wins last week at Indiana and at home against Memphis but both of those teams are in a down year. This is just the second true road game, the first resulting in their lone loss of the season at Arkansas by nine points. This is a bad time to head to Knoxville. 10* (612) Tennessee Volunteers |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-F | Dec 16, 2025 Troy vs Jacksonville State |
Jacksonville State +2 -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
|
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS for our Salute to Veterans Bowl. Jacksonville St. is coming off a tough loss in the C-USA Championship to Kennesaw St. in the final minute but that is not going to produce a letdown as the fact the Gamecocks are even going to a bowl game is a huge success based on preseason expectations. They have the matchup edges here as they should be able to own the line of scrimmage and the running game will be the difference. Jacksonville St. comes in as one of the best rushing teams in the country as it is No. 17 in EPA/Rushing while averaging 5.7 ypc which is No. 21 and faces a Troy defense that is decent against the run but nothing good enough to be able to spot the Gamecocks. Especially when they just allowed 318 yards to James Madison in the SBC Championship. Overall on both sides, Jacksonville St. outrushes opponents by 1.6 ypc (5.7-4.1) while the Trojans are getting outrushed by 1.9 ypc (2.8-4.7). Additionally, Troy has been outgained overall in seven of its last eight games. Here, we play against neutral field teams with a money line of +135 to -155 after being outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 24-6 (80 percent) since 1992 and we can bank on the moneyline situation since we are on the underdog. 10* (200) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks |
||
|
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
|---|
|
SERVICE BIO |
|---|
|
Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
