*3 Star Play Over* The Tampa Bay Bucs will get Mike Evans back here. Evans is a star receiver and him back in the lineup will help Tom Brady a bunch. Tampa Bay's offensive line is finally getting healthier as well. Chris Godwin and Julio Jones are both leaning toward being able to play here but they will test things out in warmup before the game. They would be a big bonus for the offense as well.

Kansas City's offense is among the best in the league. They have been the most consistent offense in the NFL the last couple years. Tampa Bay's defense is good, but the Bucs haven't faced an offense nearly as good as this Chiefs offense. 

The Kansas City defense is still a weakness. The Chiefs give up too many big plays and their secondary isn't deep enough. Brady should have a better game here with improved health for the Tampa Bay offense.

A total of 45.5 is awfully low for these two quarterbacks with as many weapons around them as they have. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Seattle Seahawks aren't a good team, but they have played better than expected so far this year. Detroit has played well so far this year, but the Lions are much more banged up than the Seahawks. 

Detroit will be without D'Andre Swift, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and DJ Chark on offense. That gives Jared Goff far fewer top notch weapons to work with. Goff is a mediocre quarterback who can play pretty well with a lot of talent around him. He'll be short on that talent around him here.

Tracy Walker was arguably the Lions best defensive player and he is hurt now. The Lions defense has been really weak so far this year. They have allowed 26 points or more in all three of their contests. 

Geno Smith has been pretty good so far this year for Seattle. He isn't a really good QB by any means, but he has good receivers and this Lions secondary is weak.

This should be a close contest.

Take Seattle. 

*3 Star Play Over* This is an early season game being played in a dome. Early season (September and October games) contests with a spread of 7 points or less either way (this one fits) being played in a dome are 225-180 to the over (55.6% overs) since 2004.

Atlanta has scored 27, 27, and 26 points in their three games so far this season. The Falcons offense has been working very well with Marcus Mariota at the helm. I've been impressed with their play calling early in the season. 

Cleveland has scored 29, 26, and 30 points in their three games this year. Jacoby Brissett has been excellent at quarterback. The Browns have the best running back in the NFL in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt is a great backup. The Browns offensive line should dominate on the line of scrimmage here. 

The Browns defense is badly banged up. Myles Garrett was in a car accident and is a game time decision. Clowney is also a game time decision. Denzel Ward will try to play, but is less than 100 percent. 

The Falcons defense has allowed 23 points or more in every game, and the Browns may be the best offense they have played yet (or the Rams who scored 31 points). 

I like both teams to score throughout this one.

Take the over.