Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Get the info the books do not want you to have.
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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2019 MLB Season Subscription
#5 ranked MLB handicapper this season!

Now on a 116-91 run with my last 217 MLB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $54,560 on my MLB picks since 05/06/18!

This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 17, 2019
Red Sox vs Twins
Red Sox
+130 at sportsbook
Won
$130
Play Type: Premium

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)

Off 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball against the Rangers, Red Sox starter Porcello takes a 3.83 ERA in 31 career starts against the Twins to Minnesota on Monday. He's looking for season win No. 5 and to continue improving after a rough start to the year. Meanwhile, Twins starter Berrios has never defeated the Red Sox. He is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three career outings vs the Beantown crew.Berrios has never defeated the Red Sox. Berrios has experienced issues with J.D. Martinez (4-for-11), Andrew Benintendi (3-for-7) and Mookie Betts (3-for-9) and despite his top tier record is fade material here tonight. 

BOSTON is 14-7  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - excellent offensive team - scoring 5.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 15-35 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 17, 2019
Orioles vs A's
UNDER 9 -125 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Orioles RH Andrew Cashner (6-2, 4.73 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Mike Fiers (6-3, 4.63)

Fiers has garnered a  3.02 ERA over his past nine starts. He's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four career starts against Baltimore. Meanwhile, , the Orioles are confident Cashner can pitch through a blister on his right middle finger that has bothered him for more than a week and forced the right-hander to miss his scheduled start on Thursday. Cashner is 6-2 with a 4.73 ERA this season. Im betting on both these under rated hurlers going long and strong and helping this combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

Oakland is averaging 4.1 rpg at home this season, while Baltimore is averaging 4 rpg home and away overall this season. The average score of Oakland games at home this season click in at 8.2 rpg. 

BALTIMORE is 25-9 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games 74-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 17, 2019
Indians vs Rangers
Rangers
+121 at GTBets
Won
$121
Play Type: Free

Lance Lynn...Rangers starter is 7-4, 4.40 ERA, 93 SO on the season. Lynn has a 3.39 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in his last nine starts. He is 4-0 with a 4.91 ERA in six starts at Globe Life. His 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings is 17th best in the A.L. In two career starts against the Indians, he is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA and gets my support here today at home.

CLEVINGER the Tribes starter is 4-12  against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Clevinger has seen his team lose all three of his career starts vs Texas. 

Indians are 4-9 in Clevingers last 13 road starts.Indians are 2-8 in Clevingers last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.Indians are 2-8 in Clevingers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-7 in Clevingers last 8 starts vs. American League West.

 Texas owns  a 24-12 mark at Globe Life Park in Arlington this season.

TEXAS is 9-1  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season. 

MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 18, 2019
Marlins vs Cardinals
UNDER 8 +103
Play Type: Premium

Yamamoto pitched seven scoreless innings in his Major League debut against the Cardinals on Wednesday. After being called up from Double-A Jacksonville, the 23-year-old scattered three hits and struck out five in the 9-0 win. Im betting this kid is on his game again and holds the Cardinals to limited offensive production in this spot. MeanwhileYamamoto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be opposed by Cardinals right-hander Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.28 ERA) who finished 5th in national league rookie of the year voting last season. The kid has not been in top form, but according to my pitching vs batting order power rankings does matchup well vs this Marlins batting order. ( Miami has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs RHP this season)

Under is 5-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-4 in Marlins last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 games with umpire Tichenor behind home plate.Under is 7-2 in Tichenors last 9 games behind home plate.

Play UNDER 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.