Sean Murphy |
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Sean nailed his 10* CBB Sweet 16 play but missed in NHL action on Thursday. He's back at it with CBB, NBA and MLB on the card for Friday; grab your long-term pass today and don't miss a single winner from Murph! |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Mar 29, 2024 Yankees vs. Astros |
Astros -129 at LINEPROS |
in 10h |
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Houston over New York at 8:10 pm et on Friday. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon had a decent Spring but I'm not sold on the left-hander enjoying a renaissance campaign in 2024. Rodon was awful last season, logging a 5.79 FIP and 1.45 WHIP in 64 1/3 innings of work. He'll be given every opportunity to lock down a spot in the Yankees starting rotation this season but I'm not convinced he's long for it. Cristian Javier will counter for Houston. He struggled to the tune of a 4.58 FIP and 1.27 WHIP last season but he's early enough in his career trajectory that I do expect him to rebound in 2024. Note that Javier finished third in Rookie of the Year voting back in 2020 and was terrific in 2022, posting a 3.16 FIP and 0.95 WHIP. Look for the Astros to bounce back from yesterday's one-run defeat against the Yankees at home. Take Houston. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 28, 2024 Celtics vs Hawks |
Celtics -12½ -110 at all |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Thursday NBA Free play. My selection is on Boston minus the points over Atlanta at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Hawks are set up on a tee for the Celtics to avenge Monday's stunning 120-118 loss here in Atlanta. Atlanta is in the back half of a back-to-back set after hosting Portland last night. Meanwhile, Boston has had a couple of days to hang around Atlanta and stew over Monday's embarrassing defeat. Note that the Celtics are 16-12 ATS in their last 28 games following an upset loss on the road including a 6-4 ATS mark in that situation this season. The Hawks have traditionally struggled against Atlantic Division foes, going 20-40 ATS in their last 60 matchups including a 6-12 ATS record this season. Opponents aren't going to continue to shoot the lights out against the Celtics the way they have lately. I like the fact that Boston checks in having held six straight and nine of its last 10 opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. On the flip side, the Celtics are trending up offensively having connected on 47, 44 and 47 field goals over their last three contests. Take Boston. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Mar 28, 2024 Flyers vs Canadiens |
Flyers -152 at linepros |
Lost $152.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Philadelphia over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. We'll fade the Canadiens off their big upset win in Colorado two nights ago. They're not in an ideal spot on Thursday as they return home on just one day of rest following a five-game western road trip. Note that Montreal is 5-15 (-6.9 net games) in its last 20 games following consecutive wins, as is the case here, including an 0-5 (-5.0 net games) record in that situation this season. The Flyers took the most recent meeting between these teams and that's notable as Montreal is 26-67 (-21.0 net games) in its last 93 contests when seeking revenge for a same season loss against an opponent including a 3-19 (-14.6 net games) mark in that spot this season. Philadelphia will look to bounce back following consecutive losses noting that it is 11-6 (+6.4 net games) in that situation this season. Take Philadelphia (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Mar 28, 2024 San Diego State vs Connecticut |
Connecticut -10½ -120 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Sweet 16 Game of the Year. My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over San Diego State at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. This is of course a rematch of last year's championship game that Connecticut won in a rout, 76-59. I don't expect this game to be any closer - in fact, I think the Huskies hold an even greater advantage in this year's matchup. San Diego State checks in off wins over UAB and Yale with the latter victory coming in blowout fashion. Keep in mind, the Aztecs haven't covered the spread in consecutive games since February 13th and 16th. Connecticut on the other hand is on an ATS tear, grabbing the cash in three straight and 11 of its last 13 games. The Huskies rank inside the country's top-10 in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency according to KenPom. Note that San Diego State is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 games as an underdog including a 2-5 ATS mark in that situation this season. The Aztecs are also just 26-29 ATS in their last 55 contests following consecutive wins including a 4-10 ATS record in that spot this season. Meanwhile, UConn is 61-39 ATS in its last 100 games as a favorite including 24-11 ATS this season. The Huskies are quite simply built for postseason basketball, riding a long-term 36-23 ATS run in NCAA Tournament action including an 8-1 ATS mark in their last nine contests in the Big Dance. Take Connecticut (10*). |
SERVICE BIO |
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Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play. |