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ASA |
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ASA thru Dec 19, 2024: All Sports Run: 19-4 (83%) NBA Tops +$41,070 (+100 games) NHL $37,230 (+45 games) NFL Tops +$24,950 (+52 games) CBB Run: 14-4 (78%) NBA Run: 4-2 (67%) CFB Run: 4-0 (100%) NFL Run: 8-0 (100%) |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Feb 06, 2025 Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken |
OVER 6 -112 |
Lost $112.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
#49/50 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6 Goals - Seattle Kraken vs Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 10 PM ET - Seatte is off a 5-4 SO loss versus Detroit. The Kraken have one shutout loss (rare) in their last 8 home games. In the other 7 home games dating back to mid-January they are scoring an average of 4.3 goals per game and scored at least 4 goals in 6 of those 7 games! So why has Seattle been losing so much of late considering all this scoring? The overall defensive play and goaltending has struggled for the Kraken. Seattle has lost 4 of 5 games and allowed 4 goals per game in the process. The Kraken are likely to struggle to slow down Toronto in this one. The Maple Leafs are rolling as they are off B2B road wins and have scored very well overall with wins in 3 of their last 4 road games! Toronto scored an average of 4.5 goals in those 4 road games. The Leafs have given up at least 3 goals in 4 of 5 road games since mid-January and allowed 3.4 goals per game in these 5 games. Toronto, like Seattle, has been a bit shaky defensively and in goal and has allowed at least 3 goals in 10 of last 11 games overall! The Leafs are a big road favorite in this one despite consistently allowing at least 3 goals per game! That is another big indicator of the big value here with this total at 6 goals and the Maple Leafs likely to get involved in another high-scoring road battle in which they are expected to prevail but will again have to score plenty to win. 4 of Toronto's last 5 on enemy ice have tallied at least 7 goals and those 4 games averaged 9 goals each! Great situational spot for another over here with both clubs rested and each team off yet another high-scoring game. Look for at least 7 goals in this one! Over is the play Thursday in Seattle | ||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 06, 2025 Magic vs Nuggets |
Nuggets -7½ -107 at betonline |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
ASA play on Denver Nuggets -7.5 vs. Orlando Magic, 9 PM ET - It’s highly unlikely that either of these teams are making a major move before the trade deadline today so we will back the Nuggets with the favorable scheduling in this one. On Monday the Magic looked horrific in a game against the Warriors. Orlando shot 43% for the game overall and 25% from Deep. They played like a completely different team last night in Sacramento, beating the Kings 130-111, shooting well above expectations at 57% for the game. The Magic are now 2-9 SU in their last eleven games with the worst Net Rating over that span of games at -13.2. Orlando has an EFG% of 47.3% which is also the lowest number in the NBA in that 11-game stretch with an average loss margin of minus -12.1ppg. The Magic are playing the second night of a back-to-back in altitude in Denver. Not only that, this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and 4th in 6 days so fatigue will be a factor against a Nuggets team accustomed to the altitude. Denver is playing at a very high level right now with 4 straight wins and 8 in their last eleven. If we examine that recent 11-game stretch we find the Nuggets have the best EFG%, 8th best Net Rating with an average +/- of +6.6ppg. Denver is 16-8 SU at home for the season with an average MOV of +6.4ppg. They are 5-1 SU their last five at home +13.3ppg. Denver has some of the best offensive numbers in the NBA, including an Offensive Efficiency rating of 1.193-points per possession. Orlando is 3rd in DEFF but teams have shot well against them as they rank 24th in FG% defense and 3PT% defense. The scheduling advantage is the difference here and we like the Nuggets to grab a big home win. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Maryland vs Ohio State |
Ohio State -2½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
#794 ASA PLAY ON Ohio State -2.5 over Maryland, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Tonight OSU has a chance to avenge their worst loss of the Big 10 season which came @ Maryland back on December 4th. The final score of that game was 83-59 with the Terps winning easily. The Buckeyes other 5 losses in conference play have come by a total of 20 points or an average of just -4 PPG. The Terps have been a poor road team this season with a 2-4 record with their 2 wins coming @ Indiana by 1 point on a last second 3 point shot and @ Illinois when the Illini were dealing with injuries and were also dealing with the flu at the same time. Maryland ranks 353rd in Haslem Metrics away efficiency stat and defensively they allow 1.044 PPP on the road compared to 0.833 at home. They already have Big 10 road losses @ Oregon, @ Northwestern, and @ Washington, who all currently have losing records in conference play and combine for an 11-22 SU Big 10 record. The Buckeyes have won 3 of their last 4 games, including a win @ Purdue, and they sit squarely on the NCAA bubble. They are in must win mode, especially at home, and they’ve won 4 straight at home vs the Terps. We’ll lay the small number in this one. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Elon vs Campbell |
Campbell -110 at Draft Kings |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
#784 ASA PLAY ON Campbell -110 over Elon, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Campbell is playing very well right now winning 5 straight games to move to 7-3 in the CAA while leading the conference in PPG margin at +10. The Camels have also covered 5 in a row and they sit at 13-8 ATS this season. They will be playing their 3rd straight home game tonight vs Elon. The Phoenix are finally on the road after playing their last 4 games at home going 2-2 SU on the process. Their last road game was back on January 18th. Campbell has played the much tougher strength of schedule in conference play (4th to 13th for Elon) yet they still have the better record (7-3 vs 6-4). The Camels also have the better efficiency margin, outscoring their opponents by 15 points per 100 possessions compared to Elon that is outscoring their opponents by 3 points per 100 possessions. Cambell is easily the best defense in the CAA allowing a ridiculous 0.93 PPP in conference play and they’ve held each of their last 5 opponents to less than 60 points in regulation. They are tops in the CAA defending the arc as well allowing opponents to shoot just 24% from deep. Campbell lost by 13 @ Elon allowing 81 points on 51% shooting, easily the Camels worst CAA defensive performance on the season. You can bet they’ll be fully focused on that end tonight which will cause problems for an Elon offense that is 12th in the CAA in eFG% and dead last in 3 point FG% making only 28% in conference play. This one sets up nicely for Campbell to get the home win and this line is barely above pick-em. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State |
Jacksonville State -120 at PlayMGM |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
#798 ASA PLAY ON Jacksonville State -120 over Middle Tennessee State, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Jacksonville State sits in 1st place in Conference USA with a 7-2 record despite playing the 3rd toughest schedule thus far in the league. They are an impressive 13-6 ATS on the season including 3-1 ATS at home in CUSA play. MTSU sits in 2nd place with a 6-2 record but they’ve faced the easiest schedule in conference play. The Blue Raiders have 2 road wins in league play but those were both tight beating FIU by 4 and Sam Houston State by 2, the two lowest rated teams in the conference. MTSU isn’t playing very well over the last few weeks going 2-2 their last 4 games with their 2 wins coming by 2 points and 3 points. Three of those four games were vs teams ranked in the lower half of the conference. JSU has won 6 in a row including topping the highest rated team in CUSA, Liberty, by 11 points on Saturday. One of the Gamecocks two losses in conference play came back on January 11th @ MTSU where they lost 81-64. It was JSU’s worst offensive performance (efficiency) in conference play and their 2nd worst defensive performance. Now we get them at home, in revenge mode where they are 9-0 SU on the season winning by an average of +19 PPG. Meanwhile MTSU’s scoring margin on the road is dead even where they average 72 PPG and allow 72 PPG. These 2 teams have met 3 times since joining CUSA and the home team has won all 3. We like Jacksonville State tonight. |
SERVICE BIO |
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The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten. ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry. Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins! |