1* Free NCAAB Pick on UCF Knights -1 

I have a really hard time seeing UCF lose this game and that makes them an easy play with the line basically at pick'em. I just think this is a really bad matchup for VCU's struggling offense and while UCF isn't an offensive juggernaut, they are a pretty efficient offensive team. 

The Rams enter the NCAA Tournament ranked 173rd in offensive efficiency and are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation. VCU is 331st in the country in 3-point percentage offense. 

UCF's is a team built around 7'6 big man Tacko Fall, who averages 2.5 blocks/game and effects a lot more shots than that. So if VCU can't shoot the 3 and don't figure to get many good looks in the paint, that leaves a lot of bad long/contested jump shots.

Fall is more of an anchor on defense than an offensive threat, but that's fine. The Knights have a dynamic 1-2 backcourt with B.J. Taylor and Aubrey Dawkins. The two combine for more than 30 ppg and both shoot lights out from behind the 3-point line. 

I'm not saying the Knights will light up the scoreboard against a really good VCU defense, I just think UCF will have the much easier time finding quality looks at the basket. Reminds me a lot of when the Rams played Virginia earlier in the year and managed just 49 points and shot 29.5% from the field. Take UCF! 

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (St Louis +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with St Louis as a double-digit dog, as I just feel there's too much value with this number to not take a shot. I think we are seeing inflation on the number because of the big news that Va Tech is going to get back point guard Justin Robinson. Also you have a St. Louis team that wouldn't have made the tournament had they not won the A-10 Tournament. 

One thing the Billikens do have is momentum, as they just knocked off 3 of the top 4 teams (Dayton, Davidson and St. Bonaventure) in the Atlantic 10 in route to that automatic bid. There's also plenty to like about this St Louis team. They not only have Power 5 athletes on their roster, this a team that is built around a gritty man-to-man defense that can really protect the rim. 

I think they have the talent to slow down the big playmakers of Virginia Tech in Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Kerry Blackshear. I also think there's a decent chance that Robinson doesn't impact the game as much as people think. The guy hasn't played since January and you have to wonder if he didn't rush back before he was fully healthy. Robinson really mixes up the roles and I just don't like big chemistry changes this late in the year, especially on this stage. Give me St Louis +10.5! 

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802 Gardner Webb & Virginia

Because Virginia hasn't fared as well as expected in the Big Dance we are getting nice value on the far superior team. The country as a whole knows the Cavaliers are the only #1 seed to ever lose to a #16 seed. Therefore small sample sizes and recentcy bias help us with the number here. 

Gardner Webb allows opponents to take 45% of its shots from long range, and Virginia makes 40.9% of its shots from beyond the 3 point line. The underdog does attempt 43% of its shots at the rim, Virginia only allows teams to take 31.8% of its shots from close range. Virginia has a huge advantage in rebounding in this game. So fewer shots overall and less shots specifically for the underdog.

PLAY VIRGINIA

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #811 Washington over Utah State (6:50p.m., Friday, March 22 TNT) Utah State is one of the surprise teams in the country and making it to the NCAA Tournament is already a great accomplishment for them. That being said, this team has had very little success in the NCAA Tournament over the years and this year will be no different. Washington did not perform well down the stretch, but they still won the PAC-12 and not playing Oregon will benefit them a great deal. Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Washington is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports NCAA Tournament selections this week featuring our NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. This pick has won the last two years and it is one of the most sought out games in the entire country.

This is the MOST-EXPLOSIVE Big Dance Opening Round I have ever put out. Friday, I have my NCAAB 56-25 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 27-5-1 TEN DIMES, 81% POWERHOUSE, elite HIGH ROLLER, 75% MONEYMAKER, and my coveted, 35-19 SLAM DUNK WINNERS. Be on them all and start your Big Dance off right.

Friday's FREE NCAAB TOURNEY WINNER: Virginia Cavaliers.

Game 802.

12:10 pm pst.

Expect the top-seeded Cavaliers to take no prisoners here after LY's, historic, 1st Rd loss. Virginia was the first #1 seed to lose to a #16 last March in their embarrassing, 74-54 crushing defeat at the hands of UMBC. Garner Webb showed signs of greatness this season with wins over Georgia Tech and Wake Forest. However, playing Virginia is a whole different animal. Look for the Cavaliers to come out here and make a statement, especially after their last outing, a 10-point loss to the Seminoles. Virginia is 20-8 ATS the L28 non-conference games, 14-3 ATS the L17 games played following an ATS loss, and 43-18-1 ATS the L62 overall games. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

over 2.5

I think we see a 2-1 final so take the over in this MLS soccer match set for Saturday.

Be sure to check out our March Madness plays for $19.99. Back in 2010-11 Red Dog Sports was #1 in the regular season and postseason at The Sports Monitor.

R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Friday 3-22-19

UNDER 137 Northern Kentucky/Texas Tech

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