This is the MOST-EXPLOSIVE Big Dance Opening Round I have ever put out. Friday, I have my NCAAB 56-25 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 27-5-1 TEN DIMES, 81% POWERHOUSE, elite HIGH ROLLER, 75% MONEYMAKER, and my coveted, 35-19 SLAM DUNK WINNERS. Be on them all and start your Big Dance off right.

Friday's FREE NCAAB TOURNEY WINNER: Virginia Cavaliers.

Game 802.

12:10 pm pst.

Expect the top-seeded Cavaliers to take no prisoners here after LY's, historic, 1st Rd loss. Virginia was the first #1 seed to lose to a #16 last March in their embarrassing, 74-54 crushing defeat at the hands of UMBC. Garner Webb showed signs of greatness this season with wins over Georgia Tech and Wake Forest. However, playing Virginia is a whole different animal. Look for the Cavaliers to come out here and make a statement, especially after their last outing, a 10-point loss to the Seminoles. Virginia is 20-8 ATS the L28 non-conference games, 14-3 ATS the L17 games played following an ATS loss, and 43-18-1 ATS the L62 overall games. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

802 Gardner Webb & Virginia

Because Virginia hasn't fared as well as expected in the Big Dance we are getting nice value on the far superior team. The country as a whole knows the Cavaliers are the only #1 seed to ever lose to a #16 seed. Therefore small sample sizes and recentcy bias help us with the number here. 

Gardner Webb allows opponents to take 45% of its shots from long range, and Virginia makes 40.9% of its shots from beyond the 3 point line. The underdog does attempt 43% of its shots at the rim, Virginia only allows teams to take 31.8% of its shots from close range. Virginia has a huge advantage in rebounding in this game. So fewer shots overall and less shots specifically for the underdog.

PLAY VIRGINIA