Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Guardians/Red Sox UNDER 9

The weather should aid us in cashing this UNDER 9 ticket between the Guardians and Red Sox today. Temps will be in the 40's in Boston with 15 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox are without two of their best hitters in Tyler O'Neill and Trevor Story right now. They have scored at total of 9 runs in three games in this series. Carlos Carrasco has been solid for the Guardians, posting a 3.55 ERA through three starts this season.

Brennan Bernandino gets the start for the Red Sox. He has posted a 3.09 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 58 1/3 innings in the big leagues including six starts. I expect him to hold the Guardians in check as well. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

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20* NL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Cubs OVER 7.5

A.J. Puk has been a major disappointment for the Miami Marlins this season. He is 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 2.48 WHIP in three starts, allowing 7 earned runs and 26 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

The Cubs have proven to have one of the most potent lineups in baseball and are capable of going OVER this 7.5-run total on their own. They are scoring 7.3 runs per game at home this season and 8.3 runs per game against left-handed starters.

The Marlins are scoring 5.1 runs per game against right-handed starters. Jameson Taillon will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs today, and I don't expect it to go well for him. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -110

The San Diego Padres should be bigger home favorites over the Toronto Bluejays tonight. Matt Waldron has been solid for the Padres, posting a 3.14 ERA in three starts this season. He has allowed just one earned run in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers and Giants.

Yariel Rodriquez will be making his 2nd career start for the Bluejays. He allowed one run and 6 base runners in 3 2/3 innings to the Rockies in his first start this season. Now he takes a big step up in class here against the Padres.

San Diego is 32-13 in its last 45 games following an off day. Bet the Padres Friday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Braves OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team. They have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .296 and scoring 6.4 runs per game this season.

The Texas Rangers rode their offense to the World Series title last year. Their offense is loaded again this season. They are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.

Andrew Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.74 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 12 innings. Chris Sale is 1-1 with a 4.59 ERA in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings.

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER ticket. Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta Friday night. Atlanta is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 April home games. Texas is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Kings/Pelicans TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 219.5

Both play-in games went UNDER the total in the opening night of the playoffs and the UNDER is now 12-2 in play-in games since their inception.  Refs are letting a lot more physical contact go in these winner-take-all games.

The Kings have been a dead nuts UNDER team since losing two of their best shooters in Malik Monk and Kevin Heurter. The Kings have allowed 111 or fewer points in 20 of their last 21 games overall. The Kings have gone for 216 or fewer combined points in 12 of their last 16 games overall. They rank 6th in the NBA in defensive rating in their last 15 games.

The Pelicans have been a consistently great defensive team all season. They rank 6th in defensive rating this season and 6th since the All-Star Break. The Pelicans have allowed 112 or fewer points in 22 of their last 23 games overall. I don't see either team getting to 110 in this winner-take-all game. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.