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Matt Fargo |
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14 Winning days L19. 82-63-4 +$11,970 Run. CBB 47-41-4 Run. SIX Winners tonight. NBA 22-11 Run with Thursday card on the way. Matt is 308-270-8 (+$22,230) NFL s/2020. Super Bowl full report coming on Thursday. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 06, 2025 Kings vs Blazers |
Kings +1½ -108 at Heritage |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Following a nice run by going 10-1 over an 11-game span, Sacramento went on a six-game roadtrip and went just 2-4 in some tough spots and against some elite competition and its return home was not a good one as the Kings lost by 19 points against a reeling Orlando team on Wednesday. The roster was a bit of a scramble as the Kings had just traded De'Aaron Fox while getting Zach LaVine into the lineup for the first time so there was very little consistency in the backcourt on offense and the defense was non-existent as they allowed the Magic to shoot 57 percent from the floor. Expect much better things tonight and going back, the Kings are 14-1 in their last 15 road games after allowing 130 or more points. Portland continues to play lights out and this is now the time to sell high. The Blazers are on a 9-1 run that includes solid wins at home during the stretch against Milwaukee, Indiana and Phoenix twice and they are now a game over .500 in Portland. They conclude this seven-game homestand riding a 10-0 ATS run and now is the first time they are in the role of favorite as this line has flipped from opening. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a road favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +13.5 ppg. 10* (563) Sacramento Kings |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Montana vs Northern Colorado |
Montana +6½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
This is a play on the MONTANA GRIZZLIES for our Thursday Free Play. First place is on the line in the Big Sky Conference as 9-1 Northern Colorado hosts 8-2 Montana and the Bears do have the head-to-head early edge as they won the first meeting at Montana by 24 points three weeks ago. We can look at the revenge angle but road revenge is not a typical angle as we are more inclined looking at the value and we are getting it with the Grizzlies. While the first result is playing into the number, we are seeing nearly a 10-point swing from that initial meeting which is simply too big for a venue switch. Montana is coming off a 4-0 homestand and while it hits the road where it is just 3-7, six of those losses were quad 1 and Quad 2 non-conference defeats and all against teams at least 25 spots higher in the NET Rankings. Northern Colorado has won three straight games following its lone conference loss, a one point setback at Idaho which also happened to be its only Quad 4 loss where the Bears are 9-1. Only one of those wins came against teams ranked inside the top 200 in NET Rankings and that ended up being a one point home win in overtime against Idaho St. The stat metrics are pretty close across the board and we are not going to see a 57%-34% shooting disparity like we did the first time. Play (817) Montana Grizzlies Profits in 14 of last 19 days. CBB 2-3 Wednesday, 4-4 hoops overall and we roll into Thursday on an 82-63-4 (+$11,970) All Sports Run! Fargo is poised to continue the RED HOT Run and today presents more opportunities in both pro and college. He is on a 22-11 NBA Run with the winning ready to continue on Thursday. College Hoops is ready for a big night as Matt has SIX Winners including his Summit Game of the Month. NFL went 4-1 in the Divisional and Championship Rounds and we will have the Super Bowl up soon with side play and a prop report. Stay tuned! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Hawaii vs Cal Poly |
Hawaii -2 -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Hawaii is coming off a home split, losing to UC San Diego and then rolling over CS Fullerton to go to 5-6 in the Big West Conference. The Warriors are back on the road where they are 2-4 including a 2-3 record in the Big West Conference, opening with a loss at Long Beach St., which was way back in early December and the other two losses were at first place UC Irvine and by two points at UC Davis. The non-conference loss was not a bad one at Grand Canyon by just six points. Overall, they are 9-1 in Quad 4 games. Cal Poly is now 2-9 in the conference with those two wins coming in their last three games and while the Mustangs are back home, there is no edge. Cal Poly is 5-4 at home as the Mustangs opened their home slate with a win over non-Division I Menlo College and then did have a good win over Seattle but the Redhawks were in a lookahead spot, facing UC San Diego two days later and the other three wins have come against Grambling, Denver and Long Beach St., ranked No. 342, No. 326 and No. 321 respectively. 10* (851) Hawaii Warriors |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 South Dakota vs Denver |
South Dakota -2 -115 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA COYOTES for our Summit Game of the Month. South Dakota got back to .500 in the Summit League with a home win over Omaha and the Coyotes are back on the road where they are 2-9 which is keeping this number within reason. This includes a 1-3 record within the conference with two of those losses coming against St. Thomas and South Dakota St., the top two NET Ranked teams in the conference, and the other early in the conference season against Kansas City when the Roos were actually playing well. This is the first of two straight winnable road games. Denver has won two of its last three games with the wins over Oral Roberts and Kansas City, both of which are 2-7 in the conference, and those were just a combined three points. The Pioneers have now covered four straight games but the other two games they were catching huge numbers and those were covered by only 3.5 points combined. Denver is 6-4 at home, three wins against non-Division I teams, two other by one points and the last against No. 346 ranked Sacramento St. 10* (839) South Dakota Coyotes |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 St. Thomas vs South Dakota State |
South Dakota State -4½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA ST. JACKRABBITS as part of our CBB Supreme Annihilator. St. Thomas is coming off a pair of home blowouts to improve to 11-0 at home and the Tommies kept hold of their first place tie in the Summit League with Omaha at 8-1. They are back on the road where they are 6-5 with four of those wins coming in Quad 4 games and while the other two were in Quad 2 contests, those were against lower ranked teams and this is their biggest conference road test thus far. St. Thomas is the top NET ranked team in the Summit and is catching points for a reason. The Jackrabbits are coming off a two-game road split as they lost at North Dakota on Saturday which was their third conference loss, the second by two or fewer possessions. The other one was at St. Thomas where they lost by a point so revenge is in play. South Dakota St. is 10-0 at home and after winning its home opener by one point, the Jackrabbits have won their last nine home games by double digits and this starts the test of their next three home games against teams in the top four in conference NET Rankings. 10* (814) South Dakota St. Jackrabbits |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 SE Missouri State vs Morehead State |
Morehead State -2 -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the MOREHEAD ST. EAGLES as part of our CBB Early Triple Play. Morehead St. remains in first place in the Ohio Valley Conference with a 9-3 record despite losses in two of its last three games including its first home loss of the season last time out against Tennessee Tech. The Eagles may have been caught peeking ahead to this weekend as they are facing two of the three teams right on their heels. They have failed to cover three straight games which is a run we are going against because of the value and looking to get that recent home loss back. SE Missouri St. has won three straight games to improve to 8-4 in the conference and this is a huge game for the Redhawks as well as they are one game back but have already lost to Morehead St. so they need this for tiebreaker purposes but we feel the home court and the recent home loss for the Eagles trumps any sort of revenge or winning on the road. They come in 4-6 on the road and while it includes four Quad 1-Quad 3 defeats, it also includes a pair of bad Quad 4 losses against teams ranked much worse. 10* (806) Morehead St. Eagles |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 William & Mary vs Drexel |
Drexel -2½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the DREXEL DRAGONS as part of our CBB Early Triple Play. William & Mary came through for us on Monday as it upset College of Charleston at home to improve to 8-2 in the Coastal Athletic Association which puts it one game behind Towson for first place. The Pride improved to 10-0 at home and now they hit the road where they are 3-8 which includes a 2-1 record in Quad 4 games, beating No. 257 Hampton by just three points and rolling over No. 341 Stony Brook which was no surprise. This one steps up to Quad 3 where they are 1-4 on the road and this is a major letdown spot and they come in as the underdog for a reason. Drexel is coming off a pair of road losses and has lost five of its last seven games to fall to 4-6 which is right about where the Dragons were expected to be and now has a chance to play spoiler here and against UNC Wilmington on Saturday. Drexel is 10-3 in Quad 4 games, losing to Big Five opponent LaSalle by three points back in November and dropping the other two against Monmouth and Towson in overtime. 10* (788) Drexel Dragons |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2025 Temple vs South Florida |
South Florida +1 -110 at Ace |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS as part of our CBB Early Triple Play. Temple is coming off a pair of wins to move to 6-3 in the American Athletic Conference, tied for fourth place, two games behind first place Memphis. The victories over Charlotte and East Carolina were by five points combined and both were at home where the Owls are 10-0 which includes a 5-0 record in the conference and all of those victories were by one or two possessions. They hit the road where they are 2-5 including a 1-3 AAC record with that win over Rice by one possession so they have been the most fortunate team in the conference and have a rematch with Memphis on deck. South Florida got pounded at Florida Atlantic on Sunday by 22 points which made it three losses in its last four games. The Bulls are now 4-5 in the conference with four of those losses on the road and they are back home where they are 8-2, the one conference loss coming against second place 8-2 UAB. That was their lone Quad 3 home game with this being their second and are laying a short number, partially due to their current 0-6 ATS run. 10* (778) South Florida Bulls |
SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |