NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:37 ET - I feel strongly that this total currently at 5.5 in the markets has a lot more to do with long-term history than it does with the current trending of both teams. The Sharks have been playing much better and scoring more goals and their confidence level is up. With a higher confidence level comes stronger odds on success in the offensive zone. The trouble for San Jose has been allowing too many goals at times and that included the 6-5 loss that was their most recent game. Surprisingly, the Islanders also have fallen into the category of high-scoring games as well. New York has seen 7 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals and, keep in mind, we only need 6 to be a winner here! This is a non-conference match-up and the Isles are off a big win over the Panthers plus have a divisional game on deck. The Sharks are 3-2 last 5 games and, other than a shutout loss mixed in there, scored an average of 4 goals per game in the other 4 games. That said, don't forget they are allowing 4 goals per game this season too! Take advantage of the low total here in a game that could (should!) see each team get to at least 3 goals scored. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders

Rotation #613: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas State Wildcats vs Villanova Wildcats @ 7 ET - Villanova has too many good shooters to continue struggling from outside. Their outside shots, particularly threes, will start to fall with much more regularity. Don't be surprised if that starts here as Kansas State, not including OT points, has allowed 70 ppg this season. Here they face a very talented Nova team that has underachieved so far. In other words, Kansas State very likely to give up more than their season average in this one. Villanova had been scoring decently this season before that ugly low-scoring loss to Drexel. Villanova's block and steal numbers are not good this season and this shows the level of defensive play has dropped. Kansas State has not been great on the defensive end either but, not including OT points, is averaging scoring in the upper 70s this season. I am looking for both clubs, per the above, to get into the 70s here and that means excellent value with this one in the 142.5 range as about 5 and 1/2 hours before tipoff. 10* OVER the total in Kansas State

NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The Bucks line is down to 4.5 in this one. After the line move especially there is value on Milwaukee in this one. The Bucks are 9-1 at home this season. 8 of their last 9 wins have been by 6 or more points. Of the Knicks last 6 losses, 5 have been by 5 or more points. Home court is a key factor here as the Bucks are 41-10 since the start of last season. The Knicks are solid on the road but certainly not at 80%+ like Milwaukee is at home. The Bucks have won 7 in a row over New York in their regular season meetings and I am grabbing the extra value here after the line move. The Bucks are without Connaughton and they are certainly better with him on the floor but are these teams really equal on a neutral floor (which is what this line is practically saying) when Bucks don't have him? I say no and I know the hosts want this tourney game and will have a strong crowd behind them. 10* MILWAUKEE (-)

Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - Luton Town has defensive injury concerns here and Arsenal is well aware of course and will be on the attack. The visitors are heavy favorites here with good reason. Arsenal has some concerns at the backline as well and they could be susceptible to fatigue as this is 3rd match in a span of a week due to also playing in the Champions League Group Stage. Luton Town will put up a fight and should get on the board at home but Arsenal wins this one and whether it is 2-1 or 3-1, either type of result will suit our purposes here. Arsenal has won 5 straight matches and averaged scoring 3 goals apiece. Luton Town is averaging 1 goal scored per match at home this season but the cluster of injuries in defense make this difficult spot. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town

Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton vs Burnley @ 2:30 ET - Burnley has scored 8 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs and I am not worried about Wolverhampton scoring here! The Wolves will take advantage of hosting a club that is allowing 2.3 goals per match this season. Wolverhampton has had defensive challenges of their own though as well as they are allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Burnley has some confidence coming off a 5-0 win last week but this is still a club that entered that one having allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Amazingly, Wolverhampton has both scored and conceded in 12 straight matches and 11 of those were in EPL action! 11 of their last 13 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes 6 in row. Look for that run to make it 7 straight! 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton

NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Normally I do not like to lay 9.5 or 10+ points in NBA games but this Sixers team is finally going to have everyone back and healthy on the floor for this one and they are off B2B losses and they are facing a 3-16 team. Not only that, this 3-16 Wizards team might be without Shamet and Poole. The latter is of particular importance but even Shamet gets some decent minutes. Poole is one of the top scorers. If either or both guys play they are unlikely to be 100% for this one. The Wizards have lost 11 of 12 games. The Sixers are strong when off B2B losses and are 9-2 SU the last 11 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. This team just not have long losing streaks and they are a much better and more cohesive club this season than last season. Of course a SU win is not the only key here as we also have a big spread to cover. The key with that is the Sixers have had 4 of last 5 wins come by 10+ points and the Wizards most recent loss was by 5 points. However, Washington has lost 6 straight road games and 5 of the 6 have been by more than a dozen points! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) 

Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - These are the two highest scoring clubs in the league so far and each is also allowing 1 goal per match on the season. Now, with a match-up of two attacking threats, I can not see this match ending without at least getting to the 3-goal mark though I am expecting much more. We get line value because City has some injury/suspension issues. That is keeping this total lower than it would otherwise be and Manchester City still has a ton of attacking options even missing a couple players for this one. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Aston Villa has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches and 9 of last 10 matches. 8 of those last 9 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10 of last 12 Manchester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. That is across all competitions and, also 3 of those last 4 have totaled at least 5 goals! City has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches. These clubs have combined for just 5 draws in 28 EPL matches so the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 (again, strong odds both score) are very strong. Look for much more than just 3 but this is a solid number to have on this match as well. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa

Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United vs Chelsea @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United will bounce back here off the 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Prior to that defeat, Man U had scored 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches. They appeared to be turning the corner in that department and I am sure they will respond off the shutout loss here. Facing Chelsea will help in that regard. Man U won the last meeting with Chelsea 4-1. I am not saying that happens here but I do know that Chelsea has been scoring more goals of late as well and playing a more wide-open style. Chelsea has had 4 straight matches and 6 of last 7 in EPL action total at least 4 goals! Look for that streak to continue here as 5 in a row involving Chelsea total 4 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United