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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 29, 2023
Twins vs Astros
UNDER 8 -105 Lost
Play Type: Premium

Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch another top notch effort. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in  54 1/3 innings  of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked  very viable at times and will also help keep this score to the low side of the offered total. Both these bullpens have also been in good form this season and deserve respect to pick up where the starters left off.

Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 16-5 in Astros last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. 

Under is 20-8 in Astros last 28 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 home games.

 MINNESOTA is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.Under is 32-15-5 in Twins last 52 vs. American League West.Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 11-5-2 in the last 18 meetings.

Play on the under

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 29, 2023
Twins vs Astros
+118 at Ace
Play Type: Premium

Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch a victory at a value price. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in  54 1/3 innings  of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked  very viable at times but according to my power rankings this is a bad matchup for him. 

Houston is also set for major regression today after a season-high seven home runs the   in their 10-1 road win over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday. Note: HOUSTON is 3-10 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 1-7  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Play on Minnesota to win

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 29, 2023
Rays vs Cubs
+116 at Ace
Play Type: Free

 The Rays have lost six of their last nine on the road, and are looking a little mortal away from home. With that said, Im betting on Marcus Stroman (4-4, 2.95 ERA),  who has allowed three runs and seven hits with four walks over 14 innings to win his last two starts. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay returns fire with starter Taj Bradley (3-1, 4.44) . The right-hander was handed a ego crusher last time out, when he gave up four runs and nine hits in an ugly four innings of sub par work in a lopsided 20-1 loss to Toronto last Tuesday. He is in a  fragile state right now and could easily feel the pressure at some point today vs a desperate Cubs side playing at home. 

TAMPA BAY is 16-24  against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), after a win by 2 runs or less are 8-29 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to win

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 29, 2023
Rangers vs Tigers
-158 at BetVegas
Play Type: Premium

Detroit will send left-hander Matthew Boyd to  the hill vs the Rangers. Boyd (3-3, 5.74) has a win and a no-decision in his last two starts but hasn't gone deep in those games and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs a Rangers side that has hit lefties hard this season as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg via a 290 BA. Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi has overpowered opposing offenses in his last five starts. Eovaldi is coming off a complete-game victory at Pittsburgh 6 days ago. He held the Pirates to one run on six hits and one walk while striking out five and throwing 104 pitches. In three of his previous four starts before the above mentioned top tier effort vs the  Pirates, Eovaldi (6-2, 2.60 ERA) held his opposition scoreless and lasted at least eight innings. Overall during the five-game span , the veteran righty has allowed four runs and 22 hits while garnering  35 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings of lightning work. Advantage on the hill goes to Texas. 

Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 21-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.

Tigers are 20-41 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 51-111 in their last 162 vs. American League West.

MLB team (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 29-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 29, 2023
Heat vs Celtics
UNDER 203½ -110 Won
Play Type: Premium

Im betting game 7 of this series will be a grueling take no prisoners physical type of event that will have both sides focused on precise mistake free hoops out of transition. That Im betting will make for a lower scoring event that does not eclipse this total.BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER  when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. 

Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a straight up loss.

NBA ( BOSTON/ MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 7th game of a playoff series is 60-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 29, 2023
Heat vs Celtics
+8 -110 at circa
Play Type: Premium

The Heat took the first 3 games of this series while the Celtics have won the last 3.  But the Heat finally came to life in the last 5 min of the last game, and narrowly lost 104-103. Im betting the Heats regression is now over and  will give what must be an exhausted Boston side all they can handle here in game 7. Teams like Boston that were down 0-3 in a NBA play off series are 0-149 lifetime . 

NBA team (MIAMI) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion. 

.Play on Miami to cover 


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).