Alex Smart Alex Smart
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 26, 2021
76ers vs Knicks
76ers
+2 -104 at pinnacle
Lost
$104.0
Play Type: Free

Without Ben Simmons around the team as he awaits a trade the 76ers are now calming down and turning down all the media hype  . This is still a talented 76ers team, lead by Joel Imbiid (probable)  and the Knicks based only on last years top tier effort maybe a bit over rated.  Advantage Philadelphia 

Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Philadelphia is 7-0 SU L/7 meetings including 4-0 SU here in /NY. 

Take the points with the 76ers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 26, 2021
Lakers vs Spurs
Lakers
-2 -113 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. 

SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. 

LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . 

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Lakers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 26, 2021
Jets vs Ducks
Jets
-139 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Jets opened the season with a 4-1 loss at Anaheim on Oct. 13 but evened the series against the Ducks with a 5-1 home victory on Thursday night and now despite of some key offensive players out are still built to beat this Ducks team via a top tier system that HC Paul Maurice has implemented. 

Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win.

Ducks are 16-39 in their last 55 overall.Ducks are 17-42 in their last 59 home games.Ducks are 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog.Ducks are 6-22 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Ducks are 16-39 in their last 55 overall. Ducks are 17-42 in their last 59 home games.Ducks are 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog.Ducks are 6-22 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Favorite is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Jets are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. 

Play on Winnipeg Jets to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 26, 2021
Warriors vs Thunder
UNDER 224 -103 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. 

Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games.

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 26, 2021
Canadiens vs Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken
-112 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Habs can play inspiring hockey at times, but this great franchise lives on brand name alone over the last few years, and tonight hey look vulnerable to a Seattle team that will love their first home win to be against one of hockeys most storied team.  Im betting the Kraken come to play and have the Edge. 

MONTREAL is 2-9 ATS   when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons.

NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two terrible teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/24 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 26, 2021
Braves vs Astros
Astros
-127 at linepros
Lost
$127.0
Play Type: Premium

Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Braves starter MORTON is 8-12  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record)

Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.stros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff home games. Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.A

TLANTA is 6-14 against the money line in an inter-league game this season.ATLANTA is 3-12  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  

Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Braves are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. 

Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games.Braves are 6-16 in their last 22 interleague games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 0-5 L/5 meetings in this series.

HOUSTON is 28-11  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

All the key edges here at home for Houston make this a viable wagering opportunity on the home favorite. 

Play on Houston to win 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.