#30 ASA FREE PLAY ON Dallas -130 over Vegas, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Prior to Tuesday's 4-0 thrashing by the Golden Knights, this had been a tight series thus far with both wins in Vegas coming in OT including that late rally in Game 1. Now, after the Stars were able to get back on track and stay alive in this series, they continued to build momentum off the key OT win as one finally went the way of Dallas. Now off a 4-2 road win in Game 5 the Stars are really rolling! We will remind you again too that Vegas did get outplayed in Game 2 and were fortunate to win that one and won Game 1 in tight fashion too. We think the Golden Knights are vulnerable right now in this spot and running into a buzzsaw as the Stars will come out firing on all cylinders on home ice with a chance to tie this series up at 3 games apiece. Grab the home favorite at a nice price.

#29/30 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - As mentioned heading into Saturday's game that snuck over the total, in the East and West finals combined, there had been 8 games so far and only 2 of the 8 had totaled more than 5 goals. The Hurricanes/Panthers series is wrapped up and only the final game of that went over the total. As for series the only one that went over the total, before Saturday's surprising Game 5 result, was Game 1 of this series which was 1-1 going to the 3rd and then got crazy including a late goal tie the game at 3-3 and force a 4-3 final in OT. The point is that, entering Saturday, we could have easily been talking about all unders in these West finals and even in the East Finals it took a late goal to send that one to OT and going over the total. We think we'll see another tight battle here. Down 3-2 and back on home ice, the Stars will turn to defense and staunch netminding to look to even up the series at 3 games apiece. Dallas has allowed only 18 goals in their 10 wins this post-season. Vegas has allowed 24 goals in their 11 wins this season. So you can see why a 2-1 type game or 3-2 type game at the most should be in the offing here. Under is our play here.

#951/952 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 10 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks, Monday at 4:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks and Karl Kauffmann for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Diamondbacks bullpen is ranked 19th out of 30 teams and the Rockies bullpen is ranked 25th so far this season. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Nelson has struggled at home this season (6.31 ERA in 5 home starts) and also got rocked in his only start versus Colorado this season. The Rockies Kauffmann was hit at a .340 clip this season in his 8 starts in the minors here in 2023! Overall he is 14-24 with a 6.00 ERA in his minor league career. He is 0-2 with a 9.35 ERA in what is now his rookie MLB season and one was at hitter friendly Coors Field but the other ugly outing was on the road.  That said, this road venue is not an easy one either as Chase Field is hitter-friendly.  13 of the last 20 meetings between these clubs have reached double digits in runs and this one should too.  Over is the call in this one Monday afternoon. 

ASA top play on Boston Celtics -7 vs. Miami Heat, Game 7 @ 7:30 PM ET - Pressure! All the pressure now sits squarely on the Miami Heat as they have blown a 3-0 lead in this series and could potentially be the first team ever to lose a playoff series in that scenario. Last time out the shooting for both teams was the storyline. Boston couldn’t make a 3-pointer as they shot just 20% from Deep. They did, however, shoot 63% on 2-pointers and made 29 of 34 FT’s. Miami on the other hand shot 47% from beyond the arc but hit just 30% from inside the line. The added value in the line is also significant in this elimination game. The three previous games between these two teams in Boston had you laying -8.5, -10 and -8.5 points. I’m betting the Celtics have another shooting game as they did in Game 5 at home when they won by 13-points. The C’s shot 41% from the 3-point line in that game and own the 6th best 3PT% in the NBA. Would we be surprised to see Miami struggle to shoot again? No! The Heat were a bad shooting team all season long ranking 26th in team FG% and 27th in 3PT%. The Celtics average margin of victory at home this season was 2nd best in the NBA at +10PPG. Miami had a road differential of -1.8PPG but have clearly played much better in the postseason. Not only that, but the Celtics have far superior defensive statistics ranking 5th in PPG allowed, 5th in opponents FG% and 4th in 3PT% defense. The Heat are 2nd in PPG given up but rank 22nd in opponents FG% and 3PT%. We like Boston at home and predict a Celtic win by 15.