1* Free Pick on Rams +1½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on San Francisco minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Monday.

Are the Rams still an elite team? Yes, they're off to a 2-1 start but should we be all that impressed by a win and non-cover against the Falcons at home followed by a victory in which they scored just 20 points against a bad Cardinals defense? The Niners are in an obvious bounce-back spot off an ugly 11-10 primetime road loss against the Broncos last Sunday. Here, we'll note that Los Angeles has gone a miserable 3-13 ATS the last 16 times it has come off consecutive victories. Meanwhile, the Niners check in 24-7 ATS the last 31 times they've followed up an outright loss as a road favorite, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of two touchdowns in that situation. While Rams WR Cooper Kupp's presence in this matchup looms large as he has come up with some monster games against the Niners, it's worth noting that even in the most recent meeting, when he went off for 140+ yards receiving and two touchdowns, the Rams still scored only 20 points. Remember back in Week 1, Kupp hauled in 13 catches for 128 yards and a score and the Rams mustered only 10 points in a loss to the Bills. Both of these teams have their issues right now but San Francisco has been the better team in this series in recent years and will be out to avenge last January's NFC Championship defeat. A loss here would mean the Niners would sit two games back of the Rams in the NFC West - I look for them to avoid that fate. Take San Francisco.