Free Picks

MLB  |  Apr 19, 2025
Giants vs. Angels
UNDER
9 -115
  at  PLAYMGM
in 3h
[1%] Free Play on Angels under 9 -115
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2025
Magic vs. Celtics
Celtics
-13½ -115
  at  BOOKMAKER
in 21h

Magic vs Celtics 
5-Unit bet on the Celtics priced as a 14-point favorite. 

Consider betting 5-units on the Celtics preflop and then look to add the remaining 2-Units if the Celtics get priced at 9.5 points during the first half of action.  

Since 2021, this betting algorithm has produced highly profitable results with an eye-popping 26-4 SU and 24-6 ATS record good for 80% winning bets. Bet on hoe favorites that are coming off three consecutive games allowing no more than 105 points in each game and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points in their last game. 

Since 2016, favorites of 7.5 or more points in this situation have gone an impressive 31-3 SU and 23-10-1 ATYS good for 70% winning bets. 

Key Player Matchups 

The Celtics’ star-studded lineup, led by Jayson Tatum, holds significant edges over Orlando’s depleted roster. Here are three pivotal player matchups that could dictate Boston’s path to a sweep: 

Jayson Tatum vs. Paolo Banchero: Duke Duel in the Spotlight 

Why It Matters: Tatum, a 2024 Finals MVP contender, faces his former Duke teammate Banchero, Orlando’s rising star. This matchup pits Boston’s versatile superstar against a young forward tasked with carrying the Magic’s offense. 

Analytics Edge: Tatum averaged 30 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists on 45.9% three-point shooting (17-for-37) against Orlando this season, including a 26-point blowout win on January 17. His Player Impact Estimate (PIE) of 18.2 dwarfs Banchero’s 14.5, reflecting Tatum’s two-way dominance. Banchero, who missed time with an oblique injury, averaged 15 points and 6 assists in the April 9 win but struggled (40% FG) against Tatum’s defense. Boston’s 2nd-ranked offensive rating (118.5) thrives when Tatum exploits mismatches, while Orlando’s 27th-ranked offensive rating (108.7) leans heavily on Banchero’s 22.6 points per game. 

Why Celtics Win This: Tatum’s playoff experience (6 conference finals in 8 years) and 37-6 record in games with 36.5%+ team three-point shooting overwhelm Banchero’s 0-2 playoff record. Orlando’s 30th-ranked three-point percentage (31.2%) can’t match Boston’s record-setting 1,457 made threes. If Tatum continues his 48% eFG% against Banchero, Boston cruises. 

Jaylen Brown vs. Franz Wagner: Physicality Meets Uncertainty 

Why It Matters: Brown, despite a lingering knee issue, is Boston’s second scoring option, while Wagner, Orlando’s other young wing, aims to disrupt with physical defense. Brown’s health is a question mark, but his practice participation signals readiness. 

Analytics Edge: Brown averaged 27.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 5 assists on 48.8% shooting in two games against Orlando, showcasing his ability to overpower Wagner. Wagner, also recovering from an oblique injury, posted 23 points in the April 9 win but shot 42% overall against Boston. Orlando’s 2nd-ranked defensive rating (108.2) limits three-point attempts (fewest in NBA), but Boston’s 5th-ranked eFG% (.561) and Brown’s 1.3 steals per game exploit Wagner’s 2.1 turnovers. 

Why Celtics Win This: Brown’s 48-14 record as a playoff favorite and Boston’s 54-7 mark when outshooting opponents from three trump Wagner’s 9-12 record in close games. If Brown plays 30+ minutes (as in his 37-point outburst vs. Atlanta), Wagner’s 49% eFG% defense won’tcontain him, setting up a Celtics rout. 

Derrick White vs. Cole Anthony: Backcourt Mismatch 

Why It Matters: With Jalen Suggs out (knee injury), Anthony steps up as Orlando’s lead guard, facing White, Boston’s unsung two-way star. White’s three-point shooting and defense could expose Anthony’s inexperience. 

Analytics Edge: White’s 265 made threes (4th in NBA) and 1.2 steals per game fuel Boston’s 4th-ranked defensive rating (109.8). He averaged 21 points against Orlando, shooting 45% from three. Anthony’s 18 points off the bench in the April 9 win were solid, but his 38% three-point shooting and 3rd-ranked turnover rate (2.8 per game) among Magic starters are liabilities. Orlando’s 28th-ranked points per game (104.2) crumble in clutch situations (30th in clutch FG%), while Boston’s 7-2 clutch record shines. 

Why Celtics Win This: White’s 50.2% eFG% and 2.1 assist-to-turnover ratio outclass Anthony’s 44% eFG% and 1.8 ratio. Boston’s 22-5 post-All-Star run, driven by White’s 39% three-point shooting, buries Orlando’s 9-3 finish, especially without Suggs’ perimeter defense. 

Key Team Matchups 

Boston’s well-rounded roster exploits Orlando’s offensive struggles and injury woes. Here are two critical team matchups that favor the Celtics: 

Boston’s Three-Point Barrage vs. Orlando’s Elite Perimeter Defense 

Why It Matters: Boston set NBA records with 1,457 made threes and 3,955 attempts, ranking 2nd in offensive rating (118.5). Orlando boasts the NBA’s best three-point defense, allowing the fewest attempts and makes, with a 2nd-ranked defensive rating (108.2). 

Analytics Edge: Boston shot 36.5% or better from three in 43 games, going 37-6, including a 17-for-37 (45.9%) performance in their 26-point win over Orlando on January 17. Orlando limited Boston to 15-for-73 (20.5%) in their two wins, but those games lacked Tatum or the full Celtics lineup. The Magic rank last in three-point makes and 30th in three-point percentage (31.2%), while Boston’s 54-7 record when outshooting opponents from three is unmatched. 

Why Celtics Win This: Orlando’s defense relies on physicality, but Boston’s 5th-ranked eFG% (.561) and depth (Tatum, White, Pritchard’s 255 threes) overwhelm. The Magic’s 1.07 points per possession (2nd-worst in NBA) can’t keep pace if Boston hits 36%+ from deep, as in 43 of 82 games. 

Boston’s Playoff Experience vs. Orlando’s Youth and Injuries 

Why It Matters: Boston’s core has reached six conference finals in eight years, going 15-3 in last year’s playoffs. Orlando, with Banchero and Wagner missing significant time and Suggs and Moe Wagner out, lacks playoff pedigree (0-2 in recent postseasons). 

Analytics Edge: Boston’s 61-21 record, 4th-ranked defensive rating (109.8), and 2nd-ranked net rating (+8.7) reflect their consistency. Orlando’s 41-41 record, 27th-ranked offensive rating (108.7), and 28th-ranked points per game (104.2) highlight their struggles. The Magic’s 30th-ranked clutch FG% and 24th-ranked field goal percentage (44.1%) falter against Boston’s 7-2 clutch record and 48.1% field goal percentage (8th in NBA). 

Why Celtics Win This: Boston’s 4-1 first-round record in recent years (four sweeps or five games) and 48-14 favorite record crush Orlando’s 9-12 underdog clip. The Magic’s injuries (Suggs, Moe Wagner) and 15-7 start undone by a .500 finish post-injuriescan’t match Boston’s 22-5 post-All-Star surge. 

Why the Celtics Could Easily Sweep the Magic 

The Celtics are poised for a 4-0 sweep due to overwhelming advantages in talent, experience, and matchup dynamics, supported by analytics and Orlando’s limitations: 

Firepower and Depth: Boston’s record-setting three-point shooting (1,457 makes, 36.8% as a team) and 2nd-ranked offensive rating (118.5) exploit Orlando’s 27th-ranked offensive rating (108.7) and last-place three-point makes. With Tatum, Brown, White, and Pritchard all surpassing 250 threes, Boston’s 37-6 record when shooting 36.5%+ from deep is a death knell for Orlando’s 30th-ranked three-point defense (31.2%). Even if Orlando limits attempts (as in their 15-for-73 defensive wins), Boston’s 45.1% overall FG% against the Magic and 5th-ranked eFG% (.561) ensure scoring efficiency. 

Playoff Pedigree: Boston’s core, with 15-3 playoff wins last season and six conference finals trips, thrives in high-pressure moments (7-2 clutch record). Orlando’s young roster, with Banchero and Wagner at 0-2 in playoffs and no Suggs or Moe Wagner, ranks 28th in clutch points and 30th in clutch FG%. The Celtics’ 4-1 first-round history (sweeps or five games) and 48-14 favorite record dwarf Orlando’s 9-12 underdog struggles. 

Injury and Roster Gaps: Orlando’s season was derailed by injuries to Banchero (oblique), Wagner (oblique), Suggs (knee, out), and Moe Wagner (ACL, out), dropping them from a 15-7 start to .500. Boston, despite Brown’s knee concern, has a healthy Tatum, Porzingis (missed 40 games but ready), and depth (Horford, Pritchard). Brown’s full practice participation and Boston’s 26-point win with their full lineup signal dominance. Orlando’s 1.07 points per possession (2nd-worst) can’t match Boston’s 118.5 points per game (3rd in NBA). 

Historical Precedent: Boston’s 26-point win on January 17 (121-94) with their full lineup exposed Orlando’s inability to counter Boston’s spacing and defense. Orlando’s two wins (108-104, 96-76) came without Tatum or Boston’s top six, rendering them unreliable predictors. The Celtics’ 61-21 record, 22-5 post-All-Star run, and 54-7 mark when outshooting opponents from three contrast sharply with Orlando’s 41-41 record and 9-3 finish against weaker foes. 

Orlando’s Offensive Woes: The Magic’s 28th-ranked points per game (104.2), 24th-ranked FG% (44.1%), and 30th-ranked three-point percentage (31.2%) crumble against Boston’s 4th-ranked defensive rating (109.8) and 1.8 blocks per game (Porzingis, Horford). Orlando’s reliance on Banchero and Wagner (49% of team points) falters against Boston’s 2nd-ranked net rating (+8.7) and White’s 1.2 steals. 

Potential Obstacles to a Sweep 

While a sweep is likely, two factors could extend the series: 

Jaylen Brown’s Knee: Brown’s injections and minutes restriction (mid-March) raise concerns. If he’s limited, Orlando’s physicality (led by Wagner) could steal a game, as seen in their 108-104 win. 

Orlando’s Defense: The Magic’s 2nd-ranked defensive rating (108.2) and league-best three-point defense (fewest attempts allowed) disrupted Boston’s 15-for-73 three-point shooting in two wins. If they replicate this, a Game 3 or 4 upset in Orlando is possible. However, Boston’s 37-6 record when shooting 36.5%+ from three and 26-point win with their full lineup suggest these hurdles are surmountable. 

MLB  |  Apr 19, 2025
Padres vs. Astros
UNDER
8½ -110
  at  JAZZ
in 1h

1* Free Pick on Padres/Astros: under 8½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

MLB  |  Apr 19, 2025
A's vs. Brewers
Brewers
-119
  at  HERITAGE
in 1h

1* MLB - A's/Brewers FREE PICK on Brewers -119

Soccer  |  Apr 19, 2025
New York City FC vs. New England
New England
+153
  at  CIRCA
in 1h
1* FREE INFO PLAY New England +153
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2025
Padres vs. Astros
Padres
-105
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Saturday 4-19-25

San Diego -105

Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Saturday on the Yankees/Rays. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 59-41 (59%) run over his last 100 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $12,750 since February 13, 2025!

MLB  |  Apr 19, 2025
A's vs. Brewers
OVER
8½ +100
  at  BOVADA
in 1h

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 4-19-25

OVER 8 1/2 Oakland/Milwaukee

R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Saturday! Now an impressive 1111-943 (54%) over his last 2249 MLB picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $95,260 since October 09, 2013!

R&R Totals has a TOP NBA Over-Under for Saturday! Now an impressive 70-50 (58%) over his last 124 NBA picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $15,120 since December 01, 2024!

R&R Totals has a TOP NHL Over-Under for Saturday! Now an impressive 133-100 (57%) over his last 250 NHL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $23,900 since February 27, 2024!

NBA  |  Apr 19, 2025
Pistons vs. Knicks
Pistons
+7½ -115
  at  BOVADA
in 17m

Chip’s ‘Guaranteed’ NBA Triple Play of Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes, the Big Game Player, Las Vegas Hilton Champion, and seven-time basketball Handicapping Champion went 1-1 in NBA action on Friday winning his Money Game Memphis (-6) 120-106 over Dallas. Chip has been labeled a ‘postseason wizard’ by the nation’s media and after a fabulous Bowl and NCAA BK run (Megabucks 6-2 75%) he’s proving it again! Saturday, receive his ‘Guaranteed’ Triple-Play of NBA Best Bet winners including his Highest-Rated Megabucks winner between the LA Clippers and Denver, his Top-rated Power Play winner between Minnesota and the LA Lakers and his Top-rated Money Game winner between Milwaukee and Indiana. Receive Chip’s NBA Triple-Play of Best Bets is ‘Guaranteed to profit’ for only $69.

Chip’s FREE NBA winner

Detroit at New York 6:00 ET

Pistons (+) over Knicks - I like Detroit here I rally do but their is way too much interest in the Pistons than for it to me be anything but a FREE selection. Good luck…take DETROIT!

NHL  |  Apr 19, 2025
Avalanche vs. Stars
UNDER
6 -110
  at  BOOKMAKER
in 2h
Free Total Annihilator On Avalanche vs Stars under 6 -110
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2025
Wolves vs. Lakers
Wolves
+4½ -110
  at  CIRCA
in 2h

Our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday at 8:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones.

Minnesota is red hot entering the playoffs -- won eight of L9 games.

The Timberwolves are also 6-3 versus the spread over those L9 games.

Los Angeles has lost five of the L8 games played against Minnesota.

The Lakers do have two superstars. But, Minnesota's got Julius Randle -- he should support Anthony Edwards a lot today.

We think that Minnesota covers the spread tonight.

AAA Sports