Free Picks

NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Bills vs. Dolphins
-5½ -110
in 1d

Dave’s Sunday Free Play:

1* on Buffalo Bills -5.5

The Key: The Buffalo Bills were dominant in their 27-17 win over the New York Jets last week.  They had a couple missed field goals and a couple turnovers that turned a 21-0 blowout into a closer game than it really was.  They outgained the Jets by 150 yards and had 16 more first downs.  The Miami Dolphins lost 11-21 to the Patriots last week.  They had just 269 yards and 3 turnovers in the loss.  They also gave up 217 rushing yards to the Patriots.  That’s bad news for them this week because the Bills are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL with Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability.  The Bills have owned the Dolphins in winning the last 3 matchups by 25, 10 and 17 points.  They should win by a TD or more Sunday.  Take Buffalo.

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NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Broncos vs. Steelers
-6 -110
in 1d

1* Free Pick on Steelers -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Twins vs. Cubs
  at  5DIMES
in 22m

PICK - Chicago Cubs -127
ROT#: 974

This is too good a price to pass up with the Cubs at home. Chicago will have a red-hot Kyle Hendricks on the mound. In his last 3 starts Hendricks has a 1.66 ERA and 0.969 WHIP. A guy that normally is all about control, is getting a lot of swing and misses. Hendricks has 17 K's in 21 2/3 innings over those last 3 starts. 

Hendricks is also a guy you want to back at home. Last year he had a 2.04 ERA at home compared to a 5.02 ERA on the road. It's more of the same in 2020. Hendricks has a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts and a 4.50 ERA in 5 road starts. 

Rich Hill will go for the Twins and while he's got strong numbers, he hasn't only made 6 starts and is not going deep in games. He's only thrown 26 innings total this season. He's not exactly coming into this game in prime form with a 4.05 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Lastly, I think this is a bit of a tough spot for Minnesota. While they are just traveling from one side of Chicago to the other, that was a MASSIVE 4-game series they just played against the White Sox. Wouldn't surprise me if they are a little flat to open up this series. Give me the Cubs -127! 

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MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Padres vs. Mariners
in 1h
Free Play on Mariners +175
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
49ers vs. Jets
-6½ -115
  at  JAZZ
in 1d

1 Unit FREE PLAY on San Francisco 49ers -6.5

The San Francisco 49ers suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last week.  They had some injuries at receiver and along the offensive line that caused their offense some problems.  But they get a lot healthier this week and should be much more effective against a lesser opponent in the New York Jets.  The Cardinals are a much better team than the Jets, and the 49ers were 7-point favorites over the Cardinals and only 6.5-point favorites over the Jets.  The Jets lost 17-27 at Buffalo last week in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score showed.  The Bills were up 21-0 before they took their foot off the gas.  They missed a couple field goals and left some points on the board.  The Bills had 404-254 yard and 31-15 first down edges over the Jets.  The 49ers are every bit as good as the Bills, if not better.  Give me the 49ers.

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Soccer  |  Sep 19, 2020
Real Oviedo vs. Mirandes
in 14h

draw +188

Real Oviedo 1

Mirandes 1

The free soccer play takes place Saturday morning. Take the draw when these two teams meet.

Red Dog Sports is on a 62% run (40-25) and was 4-1 in football (college, NFL) last week.

NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Lions vs. Packers
-6 -117
in 1d
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Play on the Broncos this week
Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active to Fade the Colts, Eagles,  KEY RUNNER UP SYSTEM: 
The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. 
* The reason a 5-18-0 system is a key runner up of the week is because it is now 17-53 OU
   - So that would make it's record 8-35 OU since inception or in other words, 8-35 is the record of the system's real world performance; which, as I've said before, as systems go is one of the Top 3 most meaningful factors: What has this system actually done for us. Turns out it has done quite a lot.
The one drawback is that it started off not really as a system and more of just a filter / trend due to the small sample size. The sample size is still a bit small at about 80 games compared to our average of about 200 games on most systems. We'll continue to watch this one and see if there are areas we can extrapolate on / see if there is some larger idea going on behind the scenes on why this trend is doing so well. 8-35 is a standard score of 4.11, and we tend to draw the line at 2.00 or more as a core filter in all of statistical analysis as 'potentially meaningful' or 'probably not meaningful / product of chance'
 - This week this is active on the UNDERS 
at Chargers and Texans so long as those lines are 8+

EXTRA SYSTEM: Home dogs of less that 6 pointsoff ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Play on the Raiders 
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Vikings vs. Colts
-3 -115
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Indianapolis Colts -3

The Minnesota Vikings gave up 43 points and 522 total yards to the Green Bay Packers last week.  This isn’t the same old defense that Mike Zimmer has had in his time in Minnesota.  I know it’s only one game, but I believe this is the worst defense he’s ever had.

For starters, the Vikings lost three starters in the secondary from last year.  They are now starting three players who are all 23 years old or younger.  They lost their top pass rusher Everson Griffin to Dallas.  Their next-best pass rusher in Danielle Hunter is hurt.  And although they got Yannick Ngakoue from the Jaguars, he is a non-factor early until he gets into playing shape.

Now the Vikings have to go up against a Colts offense that just put up 445 total yards on the Jaguars last week.  That was easily the most misleading final of the week.  The Colts outgained the Jaguars by 204 yards and should have won.  But they missed a 30-yard field goal and were stopped on downs at the goal line, two key plays as to why they did not win.

Teams who were 5.5-point favorites or more in Week 1 that lost outright are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 tries in Week 2.  This trend is great for betting on teams who were supposed to be good coming into the season, laid an egg in Week 1, and now they’re likely to bounce back in Week 2.  I expect the Colts to do just that against the Vikings.  Bet the Colts Sunday.

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MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Giants vs. A's
in 1h

Friday card has our 2020 NBA Total of the Year headlining along with an MLB Blowout and a Top tier Soccer play. Comp Play below

The MLB Comp Play for Friday is on Oakland over SF at 9:40 eastern; Oakland fits a nice system here tonight based on both Oakland and SF in off road wins. Oakland has the pitching advantage with Bassit over Webb. Look for Oakland to take the opener tonight. Our NBA Total of the Year headlines tonight along with a Big MLB Blowout System. We also have early football up. . For the Friday comp play. Go with Oakland. Rob V- GC Sports.

MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Padres vs. Mariners
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Friday 9-18-20

San Diego -167

Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Friday on the 
Yankees/Red Sox. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 99-62 (61%) run over his last 175 MLB picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $17,150 since April 07, 2019!

NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Wake Forest vs. NC State
Wake Forest
+1 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Last week, I won just about everything I posted in football, including both my 3-Game and 5-Game packages. This week, anything less than perfection won't be tolerated. Saturday, I have my coveted NCAAF HIGH ROLLER, 17-2 SKY'S THE LIMIT, and 'DOG OUTRIGHT WINNER. I also posted a 3-GAME DISCOUNTED GUARANTEED PKG. This past Sunday and Monday in the NFL, I was near-perfect. This Sunday, I have my legendary, TOUCHDOWN PLAY, CONSENSUS, 'DOG OUTRIGHT, and GRIDIRON WINNERS along with my famous, SUNDAY NIGHT LATE BAILOUT. I am so sure I will CRUSH YOUR BOOK that I also posted my NFL 5-GAME DISCOUNTED GUARANTEED PKG. Grab a broom because we are going to SWEEP THIS WEEKEND.

Saturday's FREE WINNER: Wake Forest

Game 107.

5:00 pm pst.

Look for Wake Forest to come in here with confidence after outscoring top-ranked Clemson in the second half of last week's, 31-13 loss. The Demon Deacons won and covered the last three meetings with the Wolfpack, including a 44-10 romp last season. Quarterback, Sam Hartman will dissect the lax, NC State pass defense that ranked 101st a season ago. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS L15 as a road underdog, 4-1-1 ATS L6 in the month of September, and 5-2 ATS L7 following a SU loss. The Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS L6 at home, 0-6 ATS L6 in conference play, and 5-16 ATS L21 overall. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Panthers vs. Bucs
+9½ -112
in 1d

I just can't believe this line.  The Panthers are a home dog to the Raiders and failed to cover, but they did play a solid game.  They have 6.1 yards per play scored 30 points and lost.  Tough to hang your head on that.  The defense might be a question but Oakland is much improved on offense as well.  Clearly there is some timing and issues going on with Tampa.  I dont understand going from a 3.5 point dog to near a double digit favorite.  Bridgewater is a very solid QB who isn't getting much respect here.  

MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Royals vs. Brewers
in 17m
[1%] Free Play on Royals +136
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Texas State vs. UL-Monroe
+6 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 23h

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on UL-Monroe plus the points over Texas State at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

We missed the mark with Louisiana-Monroe on the road against Army last Saturday as the Warhawks got their doors blown off at the hands of the Black Knights. They'll face a much different challenge this week and I'm confident they'll be up for it. Texas State dealt with a number of key absences, including QB Brady McBride, but still took Texas-San Antonio to double-overtime in a wild 51-48 loss last Saturday. I'm just not sure the Bobcats will be able to pick themselves up off the mat following an 0-2 start, and could get caught flat-footed against a Warhawks squad that looked so unimposing last week. UL-Monroe won last year's meeting by 10 points. This is a season that could quickly get away from Texas State if it isn't careful. Take UL-Monroe (8*).

Sean's 151-118 CFB run continues with FIVE 10* TOP RATED winners on Saturday, keyed by TWO big ticket releases! Plus Murph is ready to build off a WINNING NFL Week 1 with a MASSIVE 10-GAME slate of action on Sunday; don't miss out!